The Nuclear Weapons Factor on Interstate Politics in the Russia-Ukraine War
“No matter who tries to stand in our way, or all the more so, create threats for our country and our people, they must know that Russia will respond immediately,…
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Sinovets
23 posts
How the “Escalation Strategy” Evolved in Russia’s Security Policy
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The “escalation strategy” has been a constant element in Russia’s international behavior for the last twenty years. Stemming from the well-known “escalation for de-escalation” principle that…
The Real and Projected Strategic Dimension of the Russian Black Sea Fleet
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Since its annexation of Crimea, Russia has not deviated from its coercive military behavior, displaying its military might again and again. The substance of its military…
Hot off the Press, Colder in Scope: Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Fundamentals 2020
(PONARS Eurasia Commentary) In a surprise move this past June, Moscow published its first-ever “Basic Principles of State Policy of the Russian Federation on Nuclear Deterrence.” The content core of…
Escalation for De-Escalation? Hazy Nuclear-Weapon “Red Lines” Generate Russian Advantages
(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) According to the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), Russian nuclear strategy calls for the early use of nuclear weapons in the event of a conflict with NATO.…
The Death of Arms Control; Consequences on Ukraine
This February we witnessed the true deterioration of arms control. The United States declared its withdrawal from the INF Treaty (Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty) due to Russia’s alleged systematic violations…
Prospects for U.S.-Russian Arms Control and Strategic Stability
(PONARS Policy Memo) This has been an eventful year so far for U.S.-Russian relations in the field of nuclear weapons. The U.S. Nuclear Posture Review (NPR) was released in February…
Workshop Videos: The New Nuclear Doctrines of Russia and the United States
Recent adjustments to the Russian and U.S. nuclear doctrines demonstrate the urgent need for a renewed dialogue between the two countries on managing their vast nuclear weapons capabilities and potential. The May 10, 2018, workshop,…
Denuclearization Again? Lessons from Ukraine’s Decision to Disarm
(War on the Rocks) (Co-authored with Mariana Budjeryn) On Dec. 25, 1991, Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev announced his resignation and handed off his nuclear strike authorization unit, the so-called Cheget briefcase, to Russian President Boris Yeltsin.…
How Russia’s Nuclear Buildup Offers a Good Opportunity for Renewed Arms Control Dialogue
(PONARS Policy Memo) Russian President Vladimir Putin said in 2015 that he viewed the United States as seeking “to destroy strategic balance, to change the balance of power in such a…