Belarus 7 - PONARS Eurasia

What’s In Store For Color Revolutions? Managing a New Rise of Discontent in a Time of Crisis

The angry and hopeless demonstrations in the streets of Tehran last June did not resemble the enthusiastic “happenings” on Kyiv’s maidan (main square) in November 2004. However, successive eruptions of…

The 2010 Russia-Belarus-Kazakhstan Customs Union: A Classic Case of Prinuzhdenie k Druzhbe (Friendship Enforcement)

The Customs Union (CU) between Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Russia signed in November 2009 and enacted on July 1, 2010, was a breakthrough integration project in the post-Soviet space. It happened…

Mapping an Alternative Future for Belarus

Since the December 2010 presidential elections in Belarus, the level of drama permeating the country has been on the rise. There have been arrests and trials of prominent opposition figures,…

Wrestling from Brotherly Hugs: Prospects for Involving Belarus in Regional Energy Cooperation

Contradicting dire forecasts of economic crisis and even collapse, “Lukanomics” has managed to lead Belarus into a thirteenth consecutive year of uninterrupted economic growth. This stability, however, has been heavily…

The Rapprochement between Belarus and the European Union

In June 2009, a crisis developed in Russian-Belarusian relations, triggered by the Belarusian leadership’s refusal to accept payment in rubles of a promised $500 million Russian credit. It was exacerbated…

Is Russia’s New Belarus Policy Emerging?

The results of the constitutional referendum in Belarus that cleared the way for prolonging the rule of the country’s current leader, Alexander Lukashenko, after 2006 when his present term in…

Ukraine at the Crossroads: Velvet Revolution or Belarusification

The present Ukrainian electoral system is based on a mixed majoritarian/proportional system, with 225 of the Rada’s deputies elected in single-mandate districts (SMD) and 225 elected by party lists. In the March…

Russia’s Belarus Dilemma

Russia’s Belarus dilemma can be formulated as two questions. Should Moscow continue the process of political integration with Belarus–which necessarily entails interaction with and support of the regime of President…

Russian Policy Towards Ukraine, Belarus, and the Baltic States in the Putin Era

Russian policy towards Ukraine, Belarus, and the Baltic States depends primarily on domestic factors. Western influence is important in terms of setting well-known limits for what Russia should not do,…

Russia’s Fiscal Veto on CIS Integration

When the words "Russia" and "Near Abroad" emerge in the same sentence, they usually conjure up visions of imperialism and political subversion. In this brief, I argue that Russia has…

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