Which outcome is more likely over the next decade? Azerbaijan’s recent election returned one opposition deputy to parliament (at best), whereas Kyrgyzstan’s election sent five parties to parliament, resulting in lengthy negotiations to determine who will govern the country. a. Kyrgyzstan will succeed in consolidating a parliamentary democracy. b. Azerbaijan’s political system will undergo gradual liberalization. c. Both are equally likely. d. Neither are likely. e. Other.
Comment (Other): "Azerbaijan's liberalization is not likely, while Kyrgyzstan's political dynamics remain volatile, dependent on many factors and largely unpredictable."
This poll was sent to all (76) PONARS Eurasia members. Twenty-eight replied (about 37%). Replies were received anonymously.
The purpose of these polls is to capture and generate discussion on contemporary questions that are of interest and are being asked in the wider policy world. Answers represent the views of individual respondents and do not imply endorsement or reflect the opinion of PONARS Eurasia, the Carnegie Corporation of New York, or The George Washington University.
