Pavel Baev

Newly found Reductionism in Nuclear Deterrence Russian-Style

Image credit/license Since the start of its war against Ukraine, Russia has struggled to adjust its nuclear policy to the evolving patterns of conventional warfare. The general conceptual framework guiding…

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Irrelevant Intrigues and Diminished Power Projection: Russia in Retreat from the Middle East

Ambitions rather than interests have shaped Russian policy in the Middle East in the last decade, and the overlapping crises in this turbulent region have indeed presented many useful opportunities…

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The Arctic as a Test for a “Stable and Predictable” Russia

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Two events of major import for Russia’s foreign policymaking occurred in quick sequence in the middle of this pandemically perturbed year of 2021. On May 20,…

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Two Words That Shook Putin’s Regime

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The resonance in Russia from a short fragment of United States President Joseph Biden’s ABC News interview last Wednesday (March 17) has been extraordinarily loud—and the bilateral consequences could…

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West’s Renewed Focus on Solidarity and Coordination Perturbs Kremlin

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The disastrous visit to Moscow of the European Union’s top diplomat, High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Josep Borrell, on February 4–6, followed in quick succession…

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Russia’s Syrian Predicament Grows Unmanageable

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Syria has been an ongoing major focus in Russian security policy since its astounding military intervention in September 2015. Yet, now, it is barely present in political…

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The White Whale Chooses Freedom: Hard Choices in Opposing Russian Dominance in the Arctic

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) Russia’s claims to “Great Power” status may be overblown and even preposterous, but the country is, without a doubt, a great Arctic power. It has more…

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Russia Misjudged and Seeks to Restrain the Revolution in Armenia

(PONARS Eurasia Policy Memo) The Caucasus remained strikingly stable for a whole decade after the Russian-Georgian war in August 2008. Neither the explosion of turmoil in the Arab world from 2011…

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PONARS Eurasia Podcast

Newly found Reductionism in Nuclear Deterrence Russian-Style

Irrelevant Intrigues and Diminished Power Projection: Russia in Retreat from the Middle East

The Arctic as a Test for a “Stable and Predictable” Russia

Two Words That Shook Putin’s Regime

West’s Renewed Focus on Solidarity and Coordination Perturbs Kremlin

Russia’s Syrian Predicament Grows Unmanageable

The White Whale Chooses Freedom: Hard Choices in Opposing Russian Dominance in the Arctic

Russia Misjudged and Seeks to Restrain the Revolution in Armenia