Commentary | Комментарии 70

Ruble’s Fall Echoes 1991, Not 1998

(Moscow Times) The ruble-to-dollar exchange rate dominated headlines this week, falling to a record low of 42 rubles to the U.S. dollar. Considering the extraordinary events of recent months, why would anyone but a historian take any…

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How Putin turned Ukraine to the West

(Monkey Cage) The 2014 snap elections to the Ukrainian parliament (Verkhovna Rada) that took place on Oct. 26, 2014 will likely go down in history as a watershed election in…

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Eurasian Union: the real, the imaginary and the likely

(Chaillot Paper) The recent history of attempts to reintegrate the post-Soviet space is littered with failed political and economic initiatives. Such initiatives have included the creation of the Union State…

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An Overview of the Make-up of the New Ukrainian Parliament

I saw no major surprises in the recent parliamentary elections in Ukraine. Voters indicated their support for the reform perspective and movement toward Europe. The vote confirmed the consolidation of…

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Ukraine’s Election: Hope and Concern

Looking at the exit polls and preliminary results released just after the Ukrainian parliamentary elections ended today, at least two developments stand out, one hopeful and one worrisome. First, the…

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Coalition confusion after Bulgaria’s election

(Monkey Cage) In the last 18 month, voters in Bulgaria have been to the polls three times, including two national elections and one election for the European Parliament (EP). With…

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Putin Steals the Asia-Europe Show—and Brings Big Disappointment

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) The most recent Asia-Europe Meeting (ASEM) summit attracted a sizeable crowd of world leaders to Milan last week (October 16–17), but the formal agenda was overtaken by…

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Cuban Missile Crisis – A Lesson in Diplomacy

(The Moscow Times) This month marks 52 years since the Cuban missile crisis, which took place from Oct. 14 to 28 in 1962. The crisis was a confrontation between the Soviet Union and the United States over Soviet…

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Предчувствие гражданской войны: из Киева в Москву в октябре 2014 г.

Различное восприятие реальности Только что вернулся из поездки в Украину, где прочитал серию лекций в Киеве, а затем в Москве. Впечатления неоднозначные, так ведь и реальность совсем сумбурная. В/на Украине, с…

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De-Modernization and Degradation—An Assessment of Russia’s Domestic Situation Since the Start of 2014

(Eurasia Daily Monitor) Considering Russia’s shocking transformation in the course of just half a year, it is easy to forget that last February the country was united in the joy…

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Do we need sanctions against Hemingway and Tolstoy?

(RBTH) One of the hottest periods of the Cold War ended in January 1958, with the signing of the Lacy-Zarubin Agreement, also known as the “Agreement Between the Soviet Union…

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Reply to Andreas Umland: The Donbas Insurgency Began At Home

Andreas Umland has written a thoughtful and thorough review of my PONARS policy memo analyzing the domestic sources of the armed insurrection in the Donbas in March-April 2014. While raising…

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Commentary | Комментарии

Ruble’s Fall Echoes 1991, Not 1998

How Putin turned Ukraine to the West

Eurasian Union: the real, the imaginary and the likely

An Overview of the Make-up of the New Ukrainian Parliament

Ukraine’s Election: Hope and Concern

Coalition confusion after Bulgaria’s election

Putin Steals the Asia-Europe Show—and Brings Big Disappointment

Cuban Missile Crisis – A Lesson in Diplomacy

Предчувствие гражданской войны: из Киева в Москву в октябре 2014 г.

De-Modernization and Degradation—An Assessment of Russia’s Domestic Situation Since the Start of 2014

Do we need sanctions against Hemingway and Tolstoy?

Reply to Andreas Umland: The Donbas Insurgency Began At Home